South Lebanon From the border to Saida · 2026
An imagery-led reading of the Israeli-led attacks on Lebanon in the 2026 war, beginning in the south. It follows physical change on the ground, in villages and built fabric, health and education sites, places of worship, farmland and tree cover, and heritage, reading each place against a baseline from before the war, taken in the same season. Imagery does not show who acted: attribution of any strike rests on the documentary record, each source named with its status, and the imagery corroborates physical conditions and patterns.
The case has fetched its imagery, tested its pairs for season and sun angle and kept the one that matches, fixed its noise floor before computing any change, set its measures beside UNDP’s building-level counts, and surveyed 38 sources in the legal record. Its page is a draft, not yet public. No finding has been drawn or published. Each measure states its noise floor and what it cannot show: a ten-metre pixel is not a building, and a change in the surface is not its cause. No local verification has been done, and a frame that cannot be read with confidence is withheld, not guessed.